In yet another edition of the Real Time Big Data survey, former Deputy Marília Arraes (PDT) continues to lead the race for the Senate in Pernambuco. She appears with 25% of voting intentions, fluctuating negatively (-2) within the margin of error. Arraes leads all electoral surveys on the race for the Senate conducted over the past four months. Senator and candidate for re-election Humberto Costa (PT) maintained his percentage and is tied with Deputy Mendonça Filho (PL), who fluctuated negatively (-1): both have 20%.
In the final stretch, Eduardo da Fonte (PP) fluctuated positively (+2) and, carried by Governor Raquel Lyra, he returns to figure as a competitive candidate in the race for one of the two seats. Meanwhile, the candidate of the governor's party, Túlio Gadêlha (PSD), seems to be dehydrating (-4) in 10 days, now appearing with 7%. With the same percentage is Carlos Sant’ana (Novo), who made a jump (+5) after being taken to the stage with Flávio Bolsonaro in Recife. With 1% is Paulo Rubem Santiago (Rede), while Mariano Macedo (PSTU), Mailson da Silva Neto (PCO), Gorett Bidu (UP), Samuel Timóteo (UP) and Pastor Gilvan Costa (Dem) did not score.
In the Real Time survey, undecided voters amount to 2%, while 3% declare voting blank or null. The Real Time Big Data survey, commissioned by TV Record, interviewed 1,600 Pernambucan voters between September 23 and 26. The margin of error is two percentage points, and the confidence level is 95%. The survey has registration PE-06087/2026 at the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) andalso questioned voters about voting intentions for the Government of Pernambuco.