Special Weather Statement issued July 1 at 8:27AM ChST by NWS Tiyan GU
Por NWS30/06/2026 às 22:271 visualizações
The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) has upgraded Invest 95W to a
"high" for development with a Tropical Cyclone Formation Alert,
meaning it is expected to develop into a significant tropical
cyclone (a Tropical Depression) within 24 hours. Invest 95W remains
very broad, spanning much of the northern half of the Marshall
Islands and Kosrae State, with the circulation extending westward to
beyond Pohnpei and eastward to around Majuro. The circulation center
is currently located near Ujae Atoll at 9.0N 164.6E. Maximum
sustained winds are estimated at 20 to 25 mph.
Invest 95W is expected to continue developing as it maintains a
general west-northwest track over the next few days, with
potential to become a typhoon over the open ocean as it approaches
the Marianas. Recent model trends continue to favor a passage
somewhere through the Marianas late this weekend or very early
next week, but it is still too early to have high confidence on
any particular track, development, or exact timing. Invest 95W
is in the process or consolidating/strengthening. However,
confidence will continue to increase as it organizes and departs
the RMI.
Latest model guidance suggests that a track through the Marianas
could have the potential to bring significant impacts to the
islands, including localized flooding, damaging winds, and coastal
inundation. At the very least, locally heavy showers, windy
conditions, and potentially hazardous seas and surf may begin to
develop starting around Sunday. Ensemble guidance currently suggests
amounts ranging from 6 to 10 inches, with locally higher amounts
possible. For now, residents should stay informed with the latest
forecasts and updates from the National Weather Service in Tiyan,
Guam, as well as from local government and emergency management.
For more information on Invest 95W, please refer to the Significant
Tropical Weather Advisory from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center
(JTWC) under WMO header ABPW10 PGTW and the Tropical Cyclone
Formation Alert from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center under WMO
header WTPN21 PGTW.
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