Tropical Cyclone Local Statement issued July 4 at 3:23PM ChST by NWS Tiyan GU
Por NWS04/07/2026 às 05:230 visualizações
...VERY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 5 SUPER TYPHOON BAVI CONTINUES TO MOVE
WEST-SOUTHWEST TOWARD THE MARIANAS...
...BAVI EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH THE SOUTHERN MARIANAS AS A SUPER
TYPHOON MONDAY MORNING...
.NEW INFORMATION...
A Typhoon Warning has now been issued.
.AREAS AFFECTED...
This local statement provides important information and
recommended actions for people in Guam and the Northern Marianas.
.WATCHES/WARNINGS...
A Typhoon Warning is now in effect for Guam, Rota, Tinian, and
Saipan.
Typhoon force winds of 74 mph or more are expected, with the
onset of damaging winds expected within 24 to 48 hours.
A Tropical Storm Watch continues for Alamagan, Pagan and Agrihan.
A Flood Watch is in effect for all of Guam and the Northern
Marianas. Please listen closely for any Flood Warnings that might
be in effect for your area.
Please check the latest public and marine forecasts for detailed
information about additional hazards.
.STORM INFORMATION...
At 1 PM ChST, the center of Super Typhoon Bavi (09W) was located
near latitude 12.5N, longitude 151.2E. This was about 435 miles
east of Guam. Storm motion was west-southwest, 255 degrees, at 8
mph. Storm intensity was 160 mph.
.SITUATION OVERVIEW...
A Typhoon Warning has now been issued. Super Typhoon Bavi (09W) is
expected to make passage through the southern Marianas beginning
Monday morning at Category 5 strength. It is expected to make a
turn toward the west-northwest and gradually increase in forward
speed through Sunday, when tropical storm force conditions will
begin to be felt across the islands. The onset of tropical storm
force conditions is currently expected late Sunday afternoon or
Sunday evening. The latest forecast track still maintains passage
somewhere near or to the north of Rota Island, but there is time
for the track to shift north or south. All islands will experience
impacts. At minimum, damaging tropical storm force conditions are
expected, but damage will be catastrophic near the center of
Super Typhoon Bavi, with maximum sustained winds forecast at 160
mph at time of passage. Significant flooding from torrential
rains, and coastal inundation are expected. Surf will become
extremely dangerous ahead of Bavi's approach, potentially reaching
30 feet Monday. Significant coastal inundation and erosion are
expected, with inundation of 10 to 15 feet possible.
For the islands closest to passage of Super Typhoon Bavi, the
onset of typhoon conditions is expected early Monday morning just
ahead of Bavi's center, continuing through Monday afternoon. The
latest forecast from the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC)
suggests that destructive typhoon conditions may be expected for 8
to 10 hours close to the center's passage, which will depend on
Bavi's forward speed.
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